Early Fall Outlook: When RI Residents Can Expect Break From Heat

RHODE ISLAND — People in Rhode Island anticipating the arrival of cooler fall weather may have to sweat through a hotter-than-usual fall, according to a new late summer and early fall outlook.

In a look ahead at temperatures for August, September and October, The Weather Channel and Atmospheric G2 said summer heat will continue into early fall in much of the country.

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Above-average temperatures are expected from the Great Basin and Southwest to the East Coast, especially in parts of the Rockies, Plains and Midwest. The immediate West Coast could see slightly above or below normal temperatures, the outlook said.

Here’s what the next few months look like in Rhode Island:

August: Temperatures in Rhode Island and much of the East Coast are expected to be above average.

September: Despite the fall equinox usually signaling relief from the heat, expect above average temperatures all month.

October: A cool, crisp fall might not even be in store in October, as temperatures are again expected to be above average.

Predictions for hot temperatures lingering well into fall come amid mounting concern that climate change is making summers hotter and longer.

Since U.S. records began in 1895, four of the five hottest summers have occurred this century, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. The summer of 2021 tied with the summer of 1936 for the hottest on record. The summers of 2022, 2012 and 2011 rounded out the top five hottest.

Heat records have been broken in many parts of the country this summer. June was the second-hottest on record in 130 years for the continental U.S., behind June 2021. July also started with a record heat wave in the West.

Summers have warmed considerably in many parts of the country, according to Climate Central, a nonprofit news group whose scientists write about climate. In 230 of 241 locations investigated by the organization, 58 percent are experiencing at least two more weeks of hot summer weather than in 1970.

In Rhode Island, there as been 14 more days of hot summer weather a year than in 1970.

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